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US chip exports to China hold at ~$16 billion despite controls

Original title: Exploring export controls · McKinsey & Company · 1 May 2025

Fast-moving · data as of 1 May 2025

What does the data say about exploring export controls?

McKinsey & CompanyView original

Original chart: McKinsey & Company

So what

Headline export controls have had less market impact than expected, because they target a narrow band of advanced chips and tools. US semiconductor-related exports to China held around $16 billion in 2023-24, below the 2021 peak but far above 2014. Executives need granular, product-level analysis of control lists rather than reacting to headlines.

Data sources
US International Trade Commission DataWeb
Authors
Shubham Singhal
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